John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 5

SANTIANA

F '23 · LIAM'S MAP × SEA SONG

Trainer: GARCIA GENARO · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

71.2

Speed fig

32.9%

In-the-money

Last 7 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Distance Change From Last +0.22
  • Num Career Starts +0.17
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.16
  • Weight Change From Last +0.14
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree +0.13

Pushing prediction down

  • BRIS Prime Power -1.90
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.35
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.41
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.41
  • Speed Fig At Today Track Max -0.16

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-07 IND 6f Dirt 4 4.8 72 77 Stalked3p;no late bid
2026-02-20 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 0.8 71 74 Vied 2w;clrd;cght late
2026-01-22 TP 6.5f Dirt 2 0.5 69 75 Ins;cleard;caught late
2025-12-19 TP 6.5f Dirt 4 8.0 71 71 Chased pair; wknd str
2025-11-01 BAQ 6f Turf 7 4.0 73 77 2p turn;headed out1/8
2025-10-04 MED 1m Turf 2 0.1 68 71 Pace inside; gamely 2p
2025-07-19 CNL 5f Turf 10 16.5 46 73 Bump brk;saved ground