John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 3

RIVER WIND

F '23 · LEXITONIAN × RACHAE LEIGH

Trainer: CASSE NORM W · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

83.2

Speed fig

32.4%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +4.95
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +1.84
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.07
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.79
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +0.60

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.52
  • Tj Combo Roi 365d -0.45
  • Today Track Code -0.42
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.39
  • Distance Change From Last -0.38

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 2 4.5 88 89 Last away;tght rail1/4
2026-02-16 OP 6f Dirt 1 8.3 92 83 2-3p;cue3/16;kick away