Derby 2026
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PP 3

RIVER WIND

F '23 · LEXITONIAN × RACHAE LEIGH

Trainer: CASSE NORM W · Jockey: GAFFALIONE TYLER

Today's prediction

88.8

Speed fig

38.0%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.3 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.90
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.59
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +1.47
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.50
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.38

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.78
  • Speed Fig Trend -0.12
  • Class Par Trend -0.11
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.06
  • Prior Starts At Churchill -0.04

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 2 4.5 88 89 Last away;tght rail1/4
2026-02-16 OP 6f Dirt 1 8.3 92 83 2-3p;cue3/16;kick away