John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 4

PARADISE

F '23 · GUN RUNNER × VENETIAN HARBOR

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

85.9

Speed fig

32.8%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +5.91
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +0.91
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.67
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.64
  • BRIS Mud Pedigree +0.39

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Purse Log10 -0.48
  • Today Field Size -0.18
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.14
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate -0.12
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.10

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 AQU 1.13m Dirt 3 10.0 84 94 Bumped st; weakened
2026-02-28 AQU 1m Dirt 1 3.8 91 89 Brush gate; edged clr
2026-01-04 GP 1m Dirt 1 3.0 80 81 Rail; pace; driving
2025-11-13 CD 6f Dirt 2 1.3 80 81 Brkout;3-5p;kpt at bay