Derby 2026
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PP 4

PARADISE

F '23 · GUN RUNNER × VENETIAN HARBOR

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: VELAZQUEZ J R

Today's prediction

86.2

Speed fig

31.0%

In-the-money

Last 4 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 83.3 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Max Speed Fig Career +1.56
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 5 +1.14
  • Mean Speed Fig Career +0.45
  • Speed Fig At Similar Distance Mean +0.35
  • Class Par Trend +0.32

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -0.52
  • Days Since Last Race -0.43
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.34
  • Mean Late Pace Last 5 -0.31
  • Starts Last 60d -0.01

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-04 AQU 1.13m Dirt 3 10.0 84 94 Bumped st; weakened
2026-02-28 AQU 1m Dirt 1 3.8 91 89 Brush gate; edged clr
2026-01-04 GP 1m Dirt 1 3.0 80 81 Rail; pace; driving
2025-11-13 CD 6f Dirt 2 1.3 80 81 Brkout;3-5p;kpt at bay