John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 9

ON TIME GIRL

F '23 · NOT THIS TIME × GIRL DADDY

Trainer: COX BRAD H · Jockey: ORTIZ IRAD JR

Today's prediction

90.9

Speed fig

50.3%

In-the-money

Last 6 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Prime Power +7.05
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 +2.19
  • Mean Class Par Last 5 +1.23
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +1.08
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 +0.83

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Post Position -0.33
  • Speed Fig Consistency -0.16
  • Today Field Size -0.15
  • Trainer Meet Itm Rate -0.13
  • Early Late Pace Diff Last 5 -0.12

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-02-28 GP 1m Dirt 3 6.5 84 95 6 wide turn;best rest
2026-01-31 GP 7f Dirt 1 3.0 91 95 Reluc load; 3wd; drvng
2025-11-29 CD 6.5f Dirt 1 3.5 96 90 Prompt 2wd;drove clear
2025-10-24 KEE 6f Dirt 2 1.0 84 88 Ins;bestd late;hld plc
2025-09-11 CD 6f Dirt 1 4.0 84 Prompt 2wd;cleared upr
2025-08-03 ELP 6f Dirt 1 2.5 85 79 Press 2wd;cleared late