John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R8

PP 1

FRONT RUNNIN

F '23 · WAR FRONT × RUNNIN RUBY

Trainer: POMIER CHASEY DEVILLE · Jockey: MORALES EDGAR

Today's prediction

73.4

Speed fig

12.9%

In-the-money

Last 10 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • BRIS Turf Pedigree +0.45
  • BRIS Prime Power +0.21
  • Today Post Position +0.18
  • Jockey Meet Win Rate +0.13
  • Max Speed Fig Career +0.12

Pushing prediction down

  • Today Purse Log10 -0.89
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.52
  • Trouble Adjusted Speed Fig Last 5 -0.46
  • Distance Change From Last -0.40
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.33

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-03 EVD 6f Dirt 5 9.0 73 83 Inside; outrun
2026-03-14 OP 6f Dirt 6 13.0 74 89 Tight; std'd 7/16;back
2026-02-22 OP 6f Dirt 2 1.0 73 86 2p;6p upper;herded1/16
2026-01-31 FG 6f Dirt 2 1.0 77 81 Pace; duel3w; gamely
2026-01-03 FG 5.5f Turf 7 8.8 68 84 Press; drift out; wknd
2025-12-14 OP 6f Dirt 5 12.5 66 84 Vied 3w;gave way btwn
2025-11-29 DED 5f Dirt 1 0.5 78 Dueled; prevailed
2025-10-10 KEE 6f Dirt 1 2.3 75 70 Stalk 3-4p;left ld;edg
2025-09-23 IND 5f Dirt 1 4.3 66 67 Front running;mild drv
2025-09-05 IND 5f Turf 6 6.5 52 69 Vied btw;gave way str