John-Z's Overlay · Trifecta ATM
← Churchill Downs R5

PP 8

BOURBON AND SPICE

F '23 · ANTHONY'S CROSS × SPICED LATTE

Trainer: MOGER ED JR · Jockey: PAULY SUMMER

Today's prediction

72.0

Speed fig

34.5%

In-the-money

Last 2 races

Why this prediction?

Base prediction: 76.4 fig points

Pushing prediction up

  • Class Par Trend +0.28
  • Speed Fig On Todays Surface Mean +0.27
  • Distance Change From Last +0.22
  • Today Weight +0.17
  • Field Size Change From Last +0.16

Pushing prediction down

  • Mean Class Par Last 5 -1.58
  • BRIS Prime Power -1.18
  • Mean Pace 2f Last 5 -0.42
  • Mean Speed Fig Last 3 -0.32
  • Today Post Position -0.24

Past performances

Date Track Dist Sfx Fin Beat Fig Class Comment
2026-04-07 IND 6f Dirt 3 2.3 76 77 Mild late bid rail
2026-03-19 TP 6.5f Dirt 5 1.0 74 75 3p;clear 3/8;cght late